Pamesa Valencia vs Unicaja

Handicap -2.0 : +2.0

Those of you that sporadically follow my picks, and make the effort to read the analysis of the pick as well, may have noticed that i like to bet on teams with class that are seemingly under a bad moon; this is the only way for me to get some decent odds for them without lacking the possibilities of an easy win.

This is a game that normally would provide the handi the other way around, not to say that moneyline would be offered around 1,65 for Unicaja (it can be found at 10bet at 1,99 for the riskier ones). Typical case of bookies influenced by the mid-week loss of Unicaja at home against Partizan, and also loss of Copa del Rey last week against Tau. Reading behind the lines however, Unicaja lost a final against the most in form team atm in Europe and mid-week they had a bad last QT in a very nervous game. Does this make them a team of the same level with Pamesa? For me the answer is so obvious i won't bother to provide it. Why not use these odds then?

Pamesa is certainly improved under Spajia, but still their play is inconsistent and mid-week plays for Uleb cup might provide a chance for more games that will normally lead to a better chemistry in the end, but the roster is not deep enough (especially after the depart of Douglas for Lottomatica) to compensate the fatigue. Claver's condition is improved lately but i don't think he will play tomorrow. Same with Gomis from Unicaja, but still their roster is far more rich to feel this loss.

Unicaja - feeling the threat of getting out of the Top16 - has to build on their form by winning in ACB and i find no better opportunity than re-gaining their confidence against a good team of not the same class. Provided at odds that you can't really refuse taking i will suggest here some good units for the protection of the handi, although myself i have taken the moneyline (currently available at odds like 2.0, but i feel they will start dropping slowly).GL!