Men - Union Olimpija v Helios Domzale

27 May 2009

Preview By Tipster Sminker

Handicap -8.5 : +8.5

20:00 Olimpija - Helios 2 4.65 Pinnacle 6/10 and Olimpija - Helios -8.5/+8.5 1.83 Pinnacle 7/10

First I have to say that this stakes don't mean that Helios will surelly win, but that Helios is great value. I expect @2.20 on Helios and maximally +5.5 HC. They had big problems with Zlatorog, won for 10 points, but Zlatorog had some chances to get closer. Olimpija won this game, because they had a lot of FT and almost all last quarter they were shoting FT. They are playing agressive in defence, but Helios has more options than Zlatorog. They have 2 great shoters (Jacobson and Snow), they also have Laskevich under the basket. I have to mention that they have 3 players out: Zerak, Zagorc and Zagorac. But Mocnik is great replacement for Zagorc. Now I have to write some words about Olimpija's offence: I don't like it, they play too much individual, some blocks and shot for 3 points or drive in. They had big problems against Zlatorog, but against Helios I think they will have bigger. Begic is not in the same form like on the start of the season, Golubovic is better. Hukic is also out of form, Harrington, Greene and Klobucar are invisible. Helios won Krka in 2 games, they are playing very good and I give them around 45% chances to win this game. I don't see any advantage for Olimpija in this match, Helios has better guards. Only problem could be foul troubles for Helios' centers.