Adriatic League - Cibona v Bosna ASA BHT
7 February 2010
Handicap -17.5 : +17.5
I do not like handicaps this big,they often prove to be tricky,but here,I will make an exception.Cibona is coming after unfortunate loss vs Caja Laboral,but this team is a team with extremely professional behavior and I do not think that will leave any consequences.Coach Perasovic may actually use a bigger rotation as Tomas and Gordon could use some extra rest.Vukusic is having a problems with his back and he s doubtful.But what is specific about this team,is the fact they cannot calculate against anybody, and I think that coach Perasovic knows that very well,their individual quality is limited and they have to be 100% focused and aggressive,even against these kind of opponents as Bosna(without disrespect).And that s why their games end with them trashing the opponents or going into the thriller endings against the better teams.And here is what I am aiming for-Cibona at home is on 8W and 1L,+20 vs Siroki,+16 vs FMP,+32 vs Helios,+3 vs Zadar,+25 vs Buducnost,+37 vs Zagreb,+37 vs Radnicki,+10 vs Partizan and -2 vs Hemofarm.And that means they went under that line of 17.5 pts in 4 matches,and all against strong teams,the other teams were trashed(the average winning margine is 19.7 ppg).
Bosna will have tough time till the end of the season,especially now,when they have showed that they will have major problems even in their own domestic championship(loss at their rival Siroki 90-62 few weeks ago).This team is worse than the public expected them to be in this phase of the season,and they are especially poor on the road where they are 0 from 9.Their average losing margine in those 9 is 18.3 ppg but that info is not that relevant considering they were destroyed in a single game in Zadar by 50 pts(104-54).But it is relevant to say that they obviously do not like to play against aggressive teams that demands a lot of energy and Cibona is just that kind of team(first game in Sarajevo ended with 80-55 Cibona win).
From my point of view,even if coach Perasovic decides to use more players,the style of play of this team,often seems too much for low profile teams,and that could be the case tommorow.Mid stakes,GL!

Pick :
Cibona-17.5

Odds :
1.95

Stake :
7 / 10

Bookmaker :
Pinnacle

Match Result :
87-62

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Posted on 21:48:18 GMT+2 Saturday 6 February