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I seriously have no idea, what's goin' on with the odds and lines. The team, which managed to beat the other with 19 points is now the underdog, with a fairly big handicap and big odds. What changed, from that time at Fenerbahce?

Ibrahim Kutluay left the team and Semih Erden injured. Kutluay is an important player, for sure, but he wasn't a key player for Fenerbahce. The newcomer, after the injury of Erden, Omer Asik brings the athleticsm and huscle plays. Does Erden have bunch of offensive weapons, which Asik doesn't? No!!!

But, you know what, some positive things happened in Fenerbahce, too. For example, Slovenian teenager, Emil Preldzic started to contribute seriously, big guy Oguz Savas became a factor and option at offense.

On the other hand, I'm aware of some movement at Roma's squad, but the only thing changed after the first match, seems to be their number of victories which seems to be the thing, where bookies based their thoughts, when deciding this offer. I mean, how can it be, to offer that big line, because of they won against Panathinaikos and Real Madrid at home, then Roma should play at final four and win the local league.

When I look to their past results, to their squad, it's obvious that those were exceptional great performances and some bad performances by the visitors, at the same time.

My estimated handicap is nothing more than 3.5, 4. Medium-high stakes.

Pick : Fenerbahce(+7)
Odds : 2.03
Stake : 7 / 10
Bookmaker : Pinnacle
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Date : 2008-01-03
Match Result : 63-84
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