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I have to admit I love the scenario of this game, as it is very favorable for Phoenix. All the factors make me believe on an easy win for the Suns. Phoenix lost their last home match against the Hornets by 113-118 and for the first time after entering the 4th quarter in the lead. This defeat was due to the great performance of Chris Paul, but also from the fact that the Suns stopped playing for Amare Stoudemire. He did not shoot in the third quarter and nearly went the final six minutes without a shot until a last-second 3-point try.

With this the media is saying that there is no chemistry with the team and there are problems in the middle of the group. Mike D'Antoni has confirmed it:

"I can't put my finger on it right now but, for whatever reason we aren't as good as we were the last couple, three years," said Suns coach Mike D'Antoni, who met with Stoudemire's fellow co-captains, Steve Nash and Shawn Marion, individually on Sunday. "We're kind of wobbling. We've got to find some answers."

So, I expect a good performance of the team against Denver, as they need to win and to get back to the good exhibitions.

The team is 1-6 against West teams that are in the playoffs spots right now, after the loss against the Hornets and now they are needing of a big win tonight to show that the team can beat the other big teams of their conference. The only win in this streak was curiously also after a loss against the Hornets, when they defeated the Spurs at San Antonio.

The team isn't playing that bad right now, unlike what people may actually think. Before the loss against the Hornets, they won four games in a row, with a very aggressive defense, only allowing 93,5 ppg, something unusual on the Suns and something that they didn't receive credit for. People just want the Suns to score 120 ppg and that's all.

Denver is the ideal opponent for the Suns, as they have a record of 21-12, 3 wins in a row and they look to be unbeatable, after wins over the Spurs, the Wolves and the Sixers yesterday. But don't get it wrong. The game against the Spurs was atypical, as it was the first game of the year for both teams, who were coming from 5 days of rest, so it wasn't a normal game. After that Denver defeated the Wolves and the Sixers and let's be honest, it wasn't hard to do it, as the Wolves are the worst team in the league and yesterday the Sixers played the last game of a 6-games road trip in the West.

The most important question is that Denver didn't defend in those games, allowing the Wolves to score 107 points and the Sixers 96 points. We are talking about the Wolves who are 29th in the league with just 93 ppg and the Sixers who are 27th with 93.6 ppg.

As this is a b2b game for Denver, they will use the same style of play today and playing like that they have a better chance to try to beat the Suns today.

Denver will play their 4th game in 5 days, something that may ruin their chances of a win, on a very high paced game. Iverson played 43 minutes in the last 3 matches and he's human. The last time Denver played with this scenario, it was at Houston being a 6 points dog and they were destroyed by the Rockets, losing by 109-81.

For this game I expect an easy win for the Suns, proving that they are still a great team. Take Phoenix.

www.andregomes.com



Pick : Suns (-7,5)
Odds : 1.94
Stake : 7 / 10
Bookmaker : Pinnacle
Tipster Personal Link/Sponsor:
Date : 2008-01-08
Match Result : 137-115
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