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Yesterday I went with the under in Detroit's game against Dallas and I've won it with some luck, as Detroit couldn't handle Dallas. Today they will travel to San Antonio in another tough game for them. The line of the points is at 180 points. It may look low, but I think it is actually high.

As I've said yesterday, Detroit's games against top defensive teams are ending with few points and they are now 1-4 o/u in this type of games. At the same time, when they are an away dog, Detroit tries to win the games with a very aggressive defense, so it's normal that they are 1-4 o/u in these games.

What it makes me interested in this game is the need of both teams to defend well today. This comes not only from the fact they have lost their last game, but also from the fact they come from weak defensive performances.

Detroit yesterday allowed Dallas to shoot 56.8% FG (42-74 FG) and 10-16 3pts! I'm sure this was one of the worst defensive performances of the Pistons in years! Actually in the last 22 games, Detroit has only allowed their opponents to score more than 100 points three times.

The Spurs on the other side, lost against the Warriors in the overtime by 130-121 and allowed the Warriors to make the hard task of shooting more than 50% FG with more than 90 shots (47-91 FG - 51.6%)! The Spurs have only allowed their opponents to score more than 100 points 8 times and the under is 5-2 in the next game after that bad defensive performance.

In all these years the under is a known word for the series between the Spurs and the Pistons: 179, 171, 151, 155, 155 and 181 points, making 4 unders and 2 unders. The overs happened with lines of 174 points.

I believe the fact of this is the first match of the season between these two teams is the fact that made the bookies be afraid of giving a line below 180 points in here. But the scenario clearly makes me think this game will have less than 180 points. Take the under.

www.andregomes.com

Pick : Under 180
Odds : 1.99
Stake : 7 / 10
Bookmaker : Pinnacle
Tipster Personal Link/Sponsor:
Date : 2008-01-11
Match Result : 80-90
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