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The line for this game is at the 13 points and in my opinion it doesn't correspond to the difference between the two teams. I'm not saying that the Bucks will win, but they should make this match close and with that, Milwaukee will end up cover the spread.

This season the big spreads are being a gold min, as when the spread is higher than 12 points, the dogs are 23-14 ATS and today the Bucks have a good chance to add another win for the dogs.

Yesterday the Bucks played against one of the best teams in the league right now and probably against the best offensive team in the league and they were capable of making this match close for the whole 48 minutes. Let's not forget that the Lakers before yesterday's game were coming from shooting 52.7% FG against Memphis and 54.9% FG against the Hornets. They were on-fire and if we look for yesterday's game we see that Kobe shot 12-25 FG (including 5-9 in 3pts shooting), ended the game with 37 points. Also Bynum shot 10-13 FG, scoring 25 points and having 17 rebounds. The whole had a nice performance shooting 45.8% FG and making 22 assists and 14 turnovers.

With this performance the Lakers should have won by more than 10 points, no? But they didn't. They defeated the Bucks by just 5 points.

The reason for that is that the Bucks are playing very well recently, with a nice ball movement, as they have confirmed that yesterday at LA with 27 assists and just 14 turnovers. Besides that, the team has the boost of Redd, coming out of the bench and having a nice exhibition.

The X factor of this game is that the Bucks won't face a streaking Suns. Hill is out for this game. Marion is day-to-day and Nash will play, but still with some flu symptoms. The Suns aren't a good team to bet when they are large favorite, as they are 2-5 ATS, while being +12 points favorites. And today they won't be at 100% in physical and mental terms. Take the Bucks today, as the bookies were generous with them and we need to take advantage from these offers.

www.andregomes.com

Pick : Milwaukee Bucks (+13)
Odds : 1.97
Stake : 7 / 10
Bookmaker : Pinnacle
Tipster Personal Link/Sponsor:
Date : 2008-01-13
Match Result : 122-114
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