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Utah receives today the Clippers and the bookies are offering a spread of Top 10 to the home favorite. If they had me offered that one week ago, I would probably accept that, but not today! Not in the conditions this game will be played. And that's why I'll take these 10 points for the Clippers tonight.

Utah played yesterday against Denver on a very fast paced game and it ended up being over by 9 points. Today they will have a b2b game against the Clippers. The team is struggling is this typical of situation, as they are 3-7 ATS on b2b games and when the game before ends up being over by more than 8 points, the team is 0-3 ATS, a sign that they are struggling to adapt to a different matchup so quickly. Another important fact is that this will be the first b2b game of Utah in four weeks! The players aren't used for this kind of schedule anymore. And playing a b2b game coming from the high altitude of Denver is never easy when you have to come home and play on the following day.

I consider the bookies are underrated the Clippers in here. This team has faced in their last five games New Orleans, San Antonio, Orlando, Dallas and Phoenix, teams with a combined record of 128-65! The team was able to cover three spreads in their last four games. For that it was important the return of the good shape of some players, especially the veteran Sam Cassell. A curious fact is that the team comes from b2b games and shooting more than 50% FG, something remarkable, as these were the only times the team shot better than 50% FG! And they have already played 34 games! Without a doubt, they are in a good run of exhibitions. This fact is a problem for Utah, as the team has allowed in the last three that they opponents shot an average of 48% FG, especially as the Clippers have now a balanced attack in the last 3 games the team had always four players with double digits.

Today the spread is too big and there are conditions that will make this match a close one. The surprisingly hot Clippers will face a team in a bad position today, so take the Clippers plus the points in game.

www.andregomes.com

Pick : LA Clippers (+10)
Odds : 1.91
Stake : 7 / 10
Bookmaker : The Greek
Tipster Personal Link/Sponsor:
Date : 2008-01-19
Match Result : 106-88
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