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It's not normal to see a team like Detroit on a mini crisis like this one, where they have lost 4 of the last 5 games and the main reason for the defeats were the defense. We all know it's impossible for a team to maintain always a good attack, but if the team can defend well, they will be capable of fighting for all matches of the season. That's not what has happened with Detroit lately. They have allowed 100 points or more in 4 of these 5 games and they had only allowed 100 or more points on 7 of their previous 32 games. I've read some statements from the players and they all say that they need of defend better:

“No, it (our defense) is not where it needs to be,” said point guard Chauncey Billups. “It’s defense; it’s nothing else,” Billups said. “That’s what we’ve hung our hats here for a long time. We are always going to find a way to score. We have too many weapons not to. But when we’re stopping teams, then it gets easy. We have to get back to that.”

That's why this will be a key game for Detroit. I've followed closely their last 3 games and besides having allowed their opponents to score more than 100 points in two of those, they have also allowed their opponents to shot better than 50% FG, something strange when the team was only allowed their opponents to shoot 44.1% FG. When the team allows more than 100 points, they have been reacting very well, as the under is in a solid record of 8-3, including a 7-0 in the last 7 games. Today they will have the ideal opponents to make that record go to 8-0, the Sixers.

Philadelphia is a team that likes to use half court defense, but they have had some problems in the defense in their last games. The problem has been the same: they can't defend against teams who have a good offensive mix interior perimeter game. It's only necessary to see their games against Boston and Indiana, where these two teams defeated the Sixers and shot 14-22 and 14-25 from the 3pts line. Detroit isn't a team that will make these numbers, actually in the last 5 games they haven't done more than 8 3pts shots in a game.

The matchup is extremely favorable for a low scoring game. Philadelphia can't score on Detroit as they've averaged just 86 points per game over the last two years against them, including only 78 points in the meeting earlier this season. In that game both teams combined 5-29 in 3pts shots and there was a very intense matchup in the interior zones. I expect the same to happen today. Take the under.

www.andregomes.com

Pick : Under 188
Odds : 1.91
Stake : 7 / 10
Bookmaker : The Greek
Tipster Personal Link/Sponsor:
Date : 2008-01-24
Match Result : 78-86
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