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The line for this game is at 190 points, can somebody explain to me why? Both teams have faced each other early in the season and the line was 188,5 points. Guess what? The game ended with just 157 points! Of course it's impossible to such low score to happen again, but with such line for this game, we have some juice for the under.

Both teams are coming from back to back to back games and this is a situation which isn't favorable to neither of these two teams. Another curious fact is that both teams are coming from long travels to play tonight. Both the Bobcats and the Sixers had to travel more than 500 miles to play tonight in Charlotte and this situation will make both teams struggle even more in attack of these two teams who already use to struggle in b2b games (Bobcats 4-6 o/u and Sixers 5-7 o/u).

I've already said that in other pick that I've gone with the under on a game involving the Sixers, that they are a solid team in the defense when their opponent can't develop a mix offensive moves inside outside. If the opponent just bases their game in the paint, then this team can really defend at a top level. Can the Bobcats shot outside the line? HELL NO! In their last 5 games, they went 22-79 (27.8%) from the 3pts line. And things even got worse in their last 3 games, where they only shot 9-43 (20%). So, it's easy to realize that the Bobcats are without confidence to shoot from outside and they will have to force some penetrations to the basket, something that the Sixers can defend very well.

On the other side, the Bobcats are struggling to face teams with big guys in the frontcourt. It's only necessary to see the top 5 teams in the league in terms of rebounds that we realize that the Bobcats have only scored 82 pts against the Rockets, 96 against Cleveland, 63 against the Sixers and 95 against Dallas. Today Gerald Wallace who is the key player of the team will struggle to face Dalembert and Evans.

The Sixers are cold in their attack, having only scored 78 pts against Detroit and 81 pts at the Knicks in their last two games. I don't believe they can regain their scoring touch in a b2b game.

I believe this game will be very intense, with the winner not scoring more than 95 points. In a very physical game, there will be a good number of FT, but we are safe in this area, as these two teams are second and third last in the FT line (Sixers is 28th with 71% and Bobcats are 29th with 70.5%).

Take the under in here, as I see much value on it.

www.andregomes.com

Pick : Under 190
Odds : 1.94
Stake : 7 / 10
Bookmaker : Canbet
Tipster Personal Link/Sponsor:
Date : 2008-01-27
Match Result : 96-103
Viewed: 334 times.