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The line of this game is going on the opposite side I was expecting. It started at 189,5 points and it is now at 191. Both teams have faced each other twice this season and the points line were 187,5 and 188,5. So, I find this movement weird, but which gives us a little bit more advantage in this game.

Atlanta is coming home, after going 1-4 SU in their 5-game road trip in the West. Even though they faced top teams during the trip, there aren't any reasons to see the team happy right now. They lost against Denver without Carmelo, then they defeated Seattle in a good win, but then they played three games where they got so humiliated, that there were even rumors of the coach Mike Woodson getting fired. They lost against Portland by 94-93 after being up by 15 at HT and having a max advantage of 19 pts. Then they lost by 33 pts against the Suns and in their last game in the trip, they lost against the Clippers without Kaman and Maggete, who lost to the Wolves by 21 pts in their following match. The team is struggling in the attack and they averaged 91 ppg in their last three games. They had two days of rest to realize what they have done wrong. They will come out to this match with an aggressive defense and taking advantage of the counter attacks.

Today they face the Nets, who were capable to win two in a row for the first time in weeks. The key for these wins were the defense, as they have only allowed 80 pts against the Bucks and 85 against Miami. The team is struggling in the attack, especially now with Kidd wanting to get traded. This match will be a physical contest and both teams know that only via a good defense they will be able to win today. I expect a close game with neither team scoring more than 95 pts. Take the under.

www.andregomes.com

Pick : Under 191
Odds : 1.95
Stake : 7 / 10
Bookmaker : Pinnacle
Tipster Personal Link/Sponsor:
Date : 2008-02-03
Match Result : 104-92
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