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Detroit receives the Magic today in a game which will finish the series between the two teams. But if everything works normally, these two teams have a good chance of facing each other later in the playoffs. So, I think this game will be extremely important for both teams. What I am saying is that both teams will try to make a statement tonight and that's why I think this game will be more intense than the usual. It's weird that right now the over is 3-0 on this series, so I think in this game we have a lot of value in the under. In the past three games the lines were 185, 191,5 and 192,5 points. Today it is at 194,5 points and certainly these extra points are thanks to the 3-0 o/u of the series.

With Howard making a great performance in the slam dunk contest, it will be normal to be the defense of Detroit being more aggressive with him. When someone makes very good in a sport, there is always a good number of rivals hungry to humiliate that person. And Detroit has motives to try to do it tonight. They have won their last 10 games and their last defeat was... at Orlando! The team against rivals that use to play on a fast tempo has been dominating them and blocking their offensive games. Just look that at Detroit, the Pistons have only allowed 89 pts to the Lakers, 87 pts to the Pacers and 80 pts to the Bobcats. So today I expect an aggressive response of Detroit in this game, which is a revenge game for them.

On the other side, after Van Gundy said that Howard was only focused in the attack, the team and Howard had a good response, with Dwight having 23 points and 24 rebounds, in a home win against Denver by 109-98. It looks like the defense wasn't that good that night, but I remember that Denver was coming to that match, having scored more than 100 points in their previous seven games. Detroit has won their last seven home games against Orlando and today in the game which closes the series between the two teams, will want to create an edge over Orlando to a potential playoffs matchup between them. This means they will have a great defensive performance and we are taking the under in here.

www.andregomes.com

Pick : Under 194,5
Odds : 1.95
Stake : 7 / 10
Bookmaker : Pinnacle
Tipster Personal Link/Sponsor:
Date : 2008-02-20
Match Result : 85-103
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