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Golden State Warriors
Boston Celtics
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And today starts the NBA final which will bring more emotion and higher ratings than the previous finals, as the title will be discussed between the teams that the public and the NBA most wished: Boston and Lakers. In this analysis the main question is to know who is the favorite to win the final and if they are the fair favorite...
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Tipsters Stats
Yield
75.76 %
62.92 %
21.42 %
20.98 %
19.84 %
16.65 %
16.16 %
15.40 %
14.61 %
12.53 %
11.40 %
10.75 %
9.90 %
9.29 %
8.84 %
Total Profit
+ 205.55
+ 148.33
+ 85.96
+ 71.83
+ 59.39
+ 59.09
+ 57.84
+ 52.10
+ 44.16
+ 37.59
+ 36.12
+ 28.50
+ 28.35
+ 25.86
+ 22.65
Monthly Profit
+ 27.02
+ 18.30
+ 11.90
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
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0.00
The Celtics are the best defense in the league allowing 89.4 ppg. These numbers decrease to 87.5 ppg when they play on the road. Last night Boston lost at Denver by 124-118 and this game send us to a good trend: when Boston loses a game and that games goes over, the under is 3-1 on their following game. In yesterday's game Boston didn't defend, as they wanted to play in the fast tempo of Denver. The result was a defeat that was the first against a team from the West. To a team like Boston the normal reaction is to be more aggressive today and I've found some declarations that prove that the staff of Boston have the clear notion of that:
“We’ve got to get back to the drawing board, get back to the basics on what we do and understand we’re a defensive ballclub,” said Paul Pierce [stats] after scoring a team-high 24 points. “We’re not going to be able to just go out there and try to outscore people. But, hey, it’s a lesson we’ve got to learn. Hopefully we can learn from it right away.”
In that game, the Celtics made 19 of 28 free throws, while the Nuggets made 34 of 49 and both Rivers and Garnett expressed displeasure with this disparity. "We didn't get any calls, man," Garnett said. "They shot 49 free throws. We can't win any games like that. We don't get a lot of the same calls that are going around the league. Maybe we need to put a tape together and put it into the league or something."
Boston is complaining with the performances of the referees on their games and this may influence the referees of this game. And you know what? The first official of this game is 15-24 o/u this game! With Boston trying to be more aggressive, the penetrations of the Warriors will be more limited and the key will be exactly that. Garnett is still far from 100%, but Boston wins with him a player to scare the players of Golden State. Also breaking news say that Captain Jackson is injured and he may not play today. Jackson's status is up in the air after he aggravated his sprained left ankle in the third quarter Tuesday night. He was limping after the game and wasn't sure if he would be available to play again in less than 24 hours.
"I never gave it time to heal," Jackson said. "It's still hurting."
With Jackson injured, the team won't have the same offensive ability. With all these factors and being the line so high at 219 points, I see a lot of value in the under in this game. Take the under in here.
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