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Last Thursday I went with the over in Miami @Houston in a premium play and today analyzing this matchup, the edge in the over is huge again. Miami isn't the Heat of this season anymore, as they are now faster and with no fear to take risks. This is mainly thanks to the trade of Marion to Miami. In the first games of Marion with Miami, the bookies have overrated the lines, but if there was a team who took advantage of the All Star break, that team is Miami, as they had time to adjust to this new look and against the Rockets we saw exactly that. In a game with a line of 188.5 points, the match ended with 212 points! We are talking about the Rockets! A team who has just allowed 80 points to the Hornets yesterday!

The key for this game is exactly the fast rhythm of Miami right now. Today they face the Sixers at home and curiously, the Sixers are also playing faster right now. Evans isn't in the starting lineup anymore and he is actually questionable for tonight's game. The Sixers are coming from three overs in a row, scoring in their last two games 124 and 99 points. The games of the Sixers are constantly having more than 160 FG lately, which is a sign of a faster pace in their games. The key of this game is exactly the matchup of the style of the two teams. The Sixers are a uni-dimensional team. They can't shoot from the 3pts line well and yesterday they just shot 3-13 3pts at Orlando. Their game is all about layups, dunks and penetrations, a zone where Miami now with Marion isn't strong anymore, which will give a good number of chances for the Sixers to easily score.

Already in February, these two teams faced each at Philadelphia and the Sixers won 101-84, in a game that ended up being under, but that was mainly thanks to the %'s, as the game had 157 FG, in a fast paced match. Miami just shot in that game 36.2% FG and 2-15 3pts. Another interesting factor is that the Sixers scored 52 points in the paint against just 38 of Miami. This game will be an affair of points, which can even have more than 200 points scored tonight. Take the over in here.

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Pick : Over 193
Odds : 2.01
Stake : 10 / 10
Bookmaker : Pinnacle
Tipster Personal Link/Sponsor:
Date : 2008-02-24
Match Result : 96-101
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