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I recognize this could be taken as a risky bet because of two factors: Unicaja didn't loose a single Euroleague game this season so far and the Spaniards play for their life, as they got 2 defeats in a row in the Top16 and another one would mean their elimination. But, in my opinion, there are some additional considerations we should bear in mind before making a final determination...

Unicaja won't count on two players; Berni Rodriguez and Carlos Cabezas. These two domestic players are the heart and the soul of the team, especially at home, where they know how to handle the home court pressure against the contender. Without them Unicaja is less dangerous at home, and we must add the injuries of Boniface N'Dong, Marcus Haislip and Carlos Jimenez. The first one is not at 100%, although he will play for sure. The latter two will be in doubt because of minor injuries and, although I'm sure they will end up playing, the truth is that they won't be at their best condition. We could see Haislip struggling a lot this weekend against ViveMenorca, while Jimenez is a pivotal piece in Scariolo's scheme, especially in a low-scoring game as it's expected tonight. Unicaja is in very bad condition lately, especially because they miss a real playmaker. Neither Popovic, nor Castle have been able to run the team in the last games, and it seems CSKA Moscow (Papaloukas, Holden) is not the easiest team at that position.

On the other side, CSKA is in a positive streak after losing the Cup against Khimki, and I think Ettore Messina made a good job convincing his player there is no place for relax in such a short competition like Top16. They are a better roster, they are in better shape, they are in a better condition mentally and that's why I think CSKA won't find big problems to take this win, probably with a double-digit lead.

Pick : CSKA Moscow -5.5
Odds : 1.87
Stake : 4 / 10
Bookmaker : SportingBet
Tipster Personal Link/Sponsor:
Date : 2008-02-27
Match Result : 72-67
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