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This is my preview two weeks a go:

Since the Shaq – Matrix trade, Suns have been sucking the floor and that is no secret to anyone, including the players themselves. I don't know what is more humiliating, the 30 points home loss to the Pistons or a home loss to the Sixers, but both will remain in their fans mind for a while now.

Portland cost me lots of many in the middle season, when I started fading it, but returned all the money back and added even, after taking only one of 15 lines!!! Since than they managed to win four lines in a row, that I was lucky enough to back them or leave the game alone (including against my Lakers unfortunately), but still, they don't impress me. Usually I go against them on a road and don’t touch or with them at home, but tonight I feel they will lose and maybe even lose badly.

I saw Miami – Portland game back in January and it was one of the best Shaq's games this season. He dominated the boards and Portland with Aldridge were simply frustrated from being unable to stop him. They won in the end, but in the minutes Shaq was on the floor, Heat in overall were in +11. This is the game that can finally show the benefits of Shaq in purple uniform and Phoenix needs it badly as not only the first place is almost out of reach, but the play off place is suddenly in question is well and the players/ fans confidence is down as well.

Suns to win by more than two points is my bet tonight with medium stakes.

What changed since than? Portland officially lost any play off hopes, Suns are burning the roof with three wins in a row and we see only one more point? I don't know, I always respect bookies and all, but I have to question their judgment here, even if in the end Portland will win this one.

Suns need this win in the very tight West and should get it, just as they did two weeks a go.



Pick : Suns -4
Odds : 2.00
Stake : 6 / 10
Bookmaker : Pinnacle
Tipster Personal Link/Sponsor:
Date : 2008-03-19
Match Result : 98-111
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