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For this game I even like Indiana and their courage, but facing a top team with revenge against them is enough to stop me from backing them. However, I believe this game will be a shootout. This team has been playing very well lately, obviously against weak teams with losing records, but still they have been winning these games and in their last match at Chicago they showed that they can also be competitive in tough matchups. In their streak of four wins in a row, Indiana showed that they need to outscore their opponents by their attack, which means that they can't defend well enough to win a game, the key is always their offense. That's why Indiana in their last 14 wins has always scored more than 100 points. Actually in their 29 season wins, in 26 they scored more than 100 points. So, there is no way how the Pacers will approach this game, speed up the pace and a lot of exterior shooting.

Talking about exterior shooting, both teams are top teams in terms of 3pts shots this season. The Pacers are 3rd in the league in 3pts attempts with 24.3 per game, while the Hornets are 9th with 19.9 tries. Looking at the last ten games of the two teams, both Indiana and the Hornets are in the top ten in terms of FG %'s. Since the Hornets have a powerful frontcourt with Chandler and West, Indiana with their small lineup is obligated to raise their pace of the game even higher. Looking for the games they played against teams with big and powerful guys, we see some examples of shootouts: 115-121 vs Orlando, 124-113 vs Wolves, 117-97 vs Utah or 103-106 vs Houston.

On the other side, the Hornets haven't played a run and gun game for a good number of games, as they have been busy with some great clashes lately and with half court minded teams. In fact the last time the Hornets played against such a so open offensively mind team was against the Bucks and the game ended 111-107 with the totals line at 190.5. These teams have faced each other this season and the Pacers won at New Orleans by 105-93. From that game I've seen two important factors: first of all it was a fast tempo game with 176 FG. The second factor is the poor performance of Chris Paul, who just shot 3-12 FG 0-3 3pts, with just 8 points scored. Talk about Chris Paul lately is talk about a MVP candidate. I've tracked their last games and the worst he has shot lately was 9-19 (47.4%) FG! In the other 10 games he shot 50% FG or even better! Amazing! I predict an affair of points with a lot of 3pts shots in here, in an high paced match. It will be easy for both teams to score more than 100 points each today, so I see a lot of value in the over. Take the over in here.

Pick : Over 210
Odds : 1.91
Stake : 7 / 10
Bookmaker : Paddy Power
Tipster Personal Link/Sponsor: http://www.andregomes.com
Date : 2008-03-26
Match Result : 106-114
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