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Portland receives the Bobcats in a game where the Blazers will have a different approach to the game, to the one they would have had if this match was one month ago. The team knows they won't go to the playoffs this season and so they won't be 100% concentrated in their defense, like they used to be in their home games. It's only necessary to see that in their last home games they allowed the Wolves to score 96 points or even the Clippers to score 102 points. In their last home game against the Wizards the result was 102-82, but that was mainly because the Wizards had a very long trip from Washington to Portland and they weren't physically at 100%. It's only necessary to see that the Wizards in that game shot 35.8% FG and 40% in 3pts shots. Even without Roy, the team continues to have some great jump shooters and the approach of the team for this game is to make it a shootout.

On the other side the Bobcats will make their last game in their road trip in the West and this will be their 4th game in 5 days. Besides that, the Bobcats have won their last two games at LA against the Lakers and at Seattle, and this takes us to a group of strong factors that make me think that Charlotte will focus more their game today in the attack than in the defense. First of all, this season when a team from the East wins two games in a row in the West and they are the underdog in the following game, the over is 7-2 on those games. On the other side this will be their 4th game in 5 days, so the team won't be able to give their best in the defense, and so they will focus their game in the attack as they are fully confident right now. On their last three games, they are scored at least 10 3pts shots and made at least 20 assists per game. For the Bobcats this will be the lowest total in a game since February, 23rd when the total was 192 points, in a game against the Wizards. Already in the previous match between these two teams in Charlotte, the total was 189 points and the game had 193 points, with the 2nd quarter of that game ending with a result of just 16-13! Today the conditions are different and there is no pressure on both sides to reach the playoffs. The team will be allowed to play without much defensive concerns and so, 191 points is too low for this game. Take the over in here.



Pick : Over 190,5
Odds : 1.91
Stake : 7 / 10
Bookmaker : 5dimes
Tipster Personal Link/Sponsor: http://www.andregomes.com
Date : 2008-03-30
Match Result : 85-93
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