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The Nets will receive the Sixers today in a game which will be tough, as it involves two teams fighting for a playoff spot. I have to say that I don't believe the Nets are going to the playoffs, as it's almost impossible. They are three games behind Atlanta and in the next four games, they will play on the road against Detroit, Toronto and Cleveland and also receive at home the Raptors, however what it's important in here is that the team believes they can still reach their objective and this is their last chance to reach it. Today they will face the Sixers, who even though had a fantastic month of March with impressive wins over some of the best teams in the league comes to this match with two losses in their last two games against Phoenix and Cleveland. The line for this game is at 204 points and it's where we can find the value, as this line is too high, mainly thanks to what the Nets have done lately.

The last three games of the Nets ended with 241, 238 and 214 points, that's a lot of points indeed, but they played against Indiana twice and against Phoenix, who played a run and gun game with the Nets. But we can't forget that the Nets played last week at Philadelphia in a game where the totals line was similar as this one and the game ended 91-87. So I have to wonder if the line isn't too high tonight?

The Nets in order to win lately need to shoot extremely well and actually in their last six wins, they have always shot better than 50% FG, but this team can't develop an organized offensive while facing a top defensive team like the Sixers. Philadelphia has only allowed their opponents to shoot better than 50% in four of their last nineteen matches (Orlando x2, Golden State and Phoenix). As I've said previously, the Sixers while facing teams with no big man in the frontcourt are very strong in the defense, as they are capable to concentrate all their defensive effort in the perimeter. It's only necessary to see that in the last game between these two teams, Vince Carter only shot 10-25 FG, Devin Harris 5-13 FG and Richard Jefferson 3-15 FG, in a total of 18-53 33.9% FG! For this game, the Sixers are coming from two losses in a row, so I don't believe they will want to enter the run and gun pace of the Nets. They will use their high pressuring defensive game and that's why I think this line of 204 points is just too high. Take the under in here.

Pick : Under 204
Odds : 1.91
Stake : 8 / 10
Bookmaker : Pinnacle
Tipster Personal Link/Sponsor: http://www.andregomes.com
Date : 2008-04-02
Match Result : 99-108
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