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Tipster's Country A.Gomes writes on NBA
Orlando Magic versus Minnesota Timberwolves
I have to say that I don't like to go with huge spreads in the NBA like this one, but when it has value, I don't mind to break my rule and jump on it. That's what it happens in this game in my opinion, where we have two teams with different motivations for tonight's game. For an huge favorite to cover a large spread like this one against a slumping team, we just need motives that give them the motivation to play near their best. When that happens, the rest is just history. Well, Orlando has a record of 49-29 right now and they are one win away from the 50 wins and besides being the 3rd team in the East to reach it, it will be only the second run in the franchise history that the team will reach such high number of wins during a single season. And in my research in this game, I found that Van Gundy is interested in this mark:

"I think there's always a level of respect in this league for a 50-win team," said Coach Stan Van Gundy, who guided the Miami Heat to a 59-23 record in 2004-05. "You'll hear that term a lot -- 'They're a 50-win team.'

"[50 wins] sort of lifts you -- in people's mind -- out of the realm of mediocrity. So it'd be nice to have. I think our guys, quite honestly, want that. It's important to them right now and I think they really want to get that done."

So, I expect the Magic to compete at their best today against the Wolves. In their last game they slaughtered the Bulls by 32 points and they have a super trend which follows Orlando continues to be at 100%. Everytime they win at home this season, they also cover the spread (23-0-1 ATS).

The Wolves right now are in a middle of a slump and they have already lost their competitive spirit. The team is coming from six losses in a row and this time of the season, it's important to remind the position the Wolves have right now for the first for the draft pick. I remember the third worst record would mean a 15.6 percent chance of winning the No. 1 pick when the lottery is held May 20. The Wolves still have a chance to catch Seattle for the second-worst record in the NBA, which would give them a 19.9 percent chance at the top pick. Miami is on track for the worst record, giving them a 25 percent chance. I guess everything is said about this subject. The Wolves in their six games as dogs by double digits points are 0-5-1 ATS, never being capable to cover the spread, showing that they easily give up from the game. Their best player Al Jefferson has been playing well this season, but his matchup today is terrible, as it is Dwight Howard.

In Minnesota, Orlando won by 111-103 and if Jefferson had 25 pts and 10 reb, Howard replied with 28 pts and 16 reb. Jefferson has shown some tiredness in these last games of the season. Al Jefferson has played more games and more minutes this season than in any of his previous years in the NBA — and he says he’s feeling it. Jefferson says he plans to work harder this summer to be ready for a long haul next season, with the goal of an even longer haul with the Wolves, in the playoffs. If we look to the last eight games of the Wolves, we see that only twice their opponents didn't shoot better than 50% FG. In the other six games, the minimum was 53% FG, showing that the team isn't giving their best effort right now. So, 12 points seems to be accessible for this game. Take Orlando in here.

Pick Pick : Orlando Magic (-12)
Odds Odds : 1.95
Stake Stake : 7 / 10
Bookmaker Bookmaker : Pinnacle
Tipster Personal Link/Sponsor Tipster Personal Link/Sponsor: http://www.andregomes.com
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Date Date : 2008-04-11
Result Match Result : 101-102
Times Viewed Viewed: 417 times.
 

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       Tipsters Stats
Yield
75.76 %
23.78 %
20.98 %
19.84 %
19.31 %
16.16 %
15.40 %
14.61 %
12.69 %
12.53 %
11.86 %
10.75 %
9.90 %
8.99 %
6.25 %
Total Profit
+ 172.45
+ 148.33
+ 85.96
+ 71.83
+ 59.10
+ 59.09
+ 44.36
+ 36.12
+ 35.79
+ 34.50
+ 28.35
+ 26.34
+ 25.86
+ 20.53
+ 20.11
Monthly Profit
+ 43.30
+ 24.66
+ 18.32
+ 14.35
+ 8.56
+ 8.40
+ 6.30
0.00
0.00
0.00
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