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Newcomer Vichy is welcoming champion Roanne in a kind of derby which look like a battle of philosophy between a defensive minded host and a run and gun team.

I know it might sounds foolish to most of you to recommend an over bet in a game involving Vichy as the team has proved to be one of the best defensive team in the league history.

The thing is that both teams have something to play for: The hosts are trying to qualify for the playoffs and a win here because all the teams behind are having some runs; the guests are trying to secure and home court advantage spot for the playoffs.

So why should they go over? First, the previous match in Roanne had gone far above this line with a 85-76 score. Second, Roanne know that if they want to win, they got to fasten the tempo in attack and don’t let Vichy’s defense to organize. Third Roanne’s in a great offensive run, scoring at ease in all their recent games but in Cholet. Fourth starting point guard Pellin is back from an injury and should boost the team’s organisation.

Although being a defensive team, Vichy has showed many times before that they can adapt their rhythm to their opponents. I’m taking their last home game against Le Havre as an example because Le Havre is some similar team to Roanne (meaning run and gun, solid shooters). This game finished with a 80-88 score. And if Le Havre could score that much, then Roanne should score around 80 points too.

All in all, this bet is more based on my personal interpretation of the game’s scenario than on pure stats!

Over 144 point is the call.



Pick : Over 144
Odds : 1.93
Stake : 6 / 10
Bookmaker : Pinnacle
Tipster Personal Link/Sponsor:
Date : 2008-04-12
Match Result : 72-65
Viewed: 320 times.