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Tipster's Country A.Gomes writes on NBA
Sacramento Kings versus New Orleans Hornets
The Hornets lost yesterday at LA against the Lakers by 107-104 and they are just half a game in front of the Lakers and with the loss they got in disadvantage in terms of a tie in the regular season, so this game is extremely important for the Hornets. They showed a lot of heart yesterday and this team is damn tough. They were down by 30 points, but they managed to comeback and made yesterday's game a ballgame and if they had won, it would have been the best comeback ever in the history of their franchise. The key moment of that game was the 1st quarter, where the Lakers outscored the Hornets by 39-20. What happened was that Paul and Chandler made their 2nd foul early in the quarter and they had to go to the bench, thanks to foul trouble. Chandler left the period with 7:36 to go and Paul with 3 min to go. When Paul left the game, the result was 14-26. When he re-entered the game a couple of minutes after, the result was already 20-42 (a partial of 6-16).

Well, the team reacted well exactly how I expect them to react today against the Kings. The Hornets are one of the best teams in the league in terms of reacting to a loss, and first of all they are 15-7 ATS when they are favored on road games. But that number becomes 8-1 ATS if they lost their previous game. And if it's a b2b game like this one, then they have a perfect record of 3-0 ATS.

Today they'll face the Kings, who have been the spoilers of this season lately and today certainly they will try to make another upset today, however looking at the matchups, there is an huge edge for the Hornets in a factor! Turnovers, which decide most games especially thanks to points off turnovers. The Hornets are 3rd in the league with just 11.4 TO/game and the Kings are second last with 15.3 TO/game. However if we just look to the last ten games, the Hornets become the best team in the league with just 9.7 TO/game and the Kings raise their number to 15.5 TO/game. Another curious fact is that the Hornets are the best team in the league in turnovers against teams with losing records, with just 10.7 TO/game, while the Kings are last in turnovers while facing teams with winning records with 15.5 TO/game. There's one of the factors which makes the Hornets a much better team than the Kings right now, especially when CP3 is in great shape and comes from a 15 pts and 17 ast performance and the Kings have nobody to stop him.

In the last time this scenario happened, the Hornets lost at home against Utah by 66-77 and in the following game they won at Minnesota by 122-90. In the last three games against sub .500 teams, they have only made 5, 5 and 6 TO/game! Amazing! The series is 1-1 with the home team winning the games, however when the Kings defeated the Hornets by 122-103, the team was at 100%. Bibby, Martin, Artest and Miller all shot extremely well. The ball movement of the Kings is something that barely exists and they need to have good %'s to win their games. In yesterday's game against Portland, they won by 103-86, but they made 18-16 A/TO! That's short for such a team like the Kings! The last time they faced a team like the Hornets, they were slaughtered at home against the Lakers by 92-114. In that game, they made 11 assists and 16 turnovers. Today I expect a deja vu of that game with the Hornets winning this one pretty easily. Take New Orleans in here.



Pick Pick : New Orleans Hornets (-8)
Odds Odds : 1.95
Stake Stake : 7 / 10
Bookmaker Bookmaker : Pinnacle
Tipster Personal Link/Sponsor Tipster Personal Link/Sponsor: http://www.andregomes.com
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Date Date : 2008-04-12
Result Match Result : 94-91
Times Viewed Viewed: 435 times.
 

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       Tipsters Stats
Yield
75.76 %
23.78 %
20.98 %
19.84 %
19.31 %
16.16 %
15.40 %
14.61 %
12.69 %
12.53 %
11.86 %
10.75 %
9.90 %
8.99 %
6.25 %
Total Profit
+ 172.45
+ 148.33
+ 85.96
+ 71.83
+ 59.10
+ 59.09
+ 44.36
+ 36.12
+ 35.79
+ 34.50
+ 28.35
+ 26.34
+ 25.86
+ 20.53
+ 20.11
Monthly Profit
+ 43.30
+ 24.66
+ 18.32
+ 14.35
+ 8.56
+ 8.40
+ 6.30
0.00
0.00
0.00
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