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Le Havre vs Paris

I was a bit too slow to react to early market prices which were giving 7.5 spreads, and now I see them up to +10 and I’m a bit reluctant to take it. I’d rather go on the over in this one as line offered by Bet 365 is more than fair.

Le Havre is the hottest team in the league at the moment, and to be honest if they playoffs were starting tomorrow I would be willing to put some money on them to win it all, as their performance is really incredible from an offensive perspective. Last time they scored under 85 points was on 2nd of Feburary in a game versus Pau. From this date, their home games have turned into offensive fests: 98/99 vs Le Mans; 97/89 vs ASVEL; 101/85 vs Nancy. They even were able to score 88 @mighty Vichy. The team is hitting its top form with Sommerville and Thompson who are just scoring at will, helped by Edwards and Cox, who also like to shoot a lot of 3s. Generally Le Havre is a run and gun team, similar to Roanne, whose defensive effort is more than suspicious.

On the other hand, Paris has its back against the wall, facing relegation which would be something disastrous as the league is doing a hell of a job to help them to build a great team. The team has a terrible calendar to finish to season with games against Le Mans, ASVEL, Roanne and Cholet and we can easily understand that they got to do give their best to win this crucial game tonight. I expect them to come out and adapt to a very fast tempo as generally, Paris has been more than good when it was time to face the offensive powerhouses of the league scoring 83 points to Toulon, 94 points to Dijon (just to take recent results).

All in all, I’m expecting a quite good offensive game at the “Dock Oceanes” tonight as Le Havre should continue to produce on its way of latest outings. Paris should be able to adapt to a quick game and maybe even give a fight for the win, that’s why over 162.5 is a good offer to go with.



Pick : Over 162.5
Odds : 1.83
Stake : 6 / 10
Bookmaker : Bet365
Tipster Personal Link/Sponsor:
Date : 2008-04-18
Match Result : 98-88
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