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Interesting battle tonight at the Astroballe where Villeurbanne takes on defence master Vichy.

The hosts finally got out of their slump last week end with a convincing in Cholet and a crushing of Toulon in the cup. The team is second in the standings and has a really nice opportunity to almost secure home court advantage in the playoffs with a win tonight. Villeurbanne has a two win advantage against Vichy but they can’t afford to loose as they don’t hold the particular point average (in case both teams finish tied).

Vichy has turned into a road master lately and is still impressive in its defensive effort. They are on the verge of being the first promoted team in 20 years to qualify for the playoffs. Nevertheless, for the guests, tonight is their third game within 5 days against a top 4 team. After they won against Roanne, they lost Wednesday at home against Nancy in a cup tie. I have the feeling that Vichy will be tired coming into this game, as its roster is very short in terms of quantity and quality, compared to the big deep roster of Villeurbanne. At the semaine des as it was difficult for them to play many games in such a small span of time and they were totally exhausted in the finals.

I have to admit, I like going against Vichy in general when they face strong point guards, as I explained before, Vichy’s point guard Jimmal Ball is really crucial for them with 16pts/3 ass per games. Tonight he will face a strong duo with Jeanneau and Sangaré who are well known for their defensive abilities. Moreover, one of Vichy’s strength is its frontcourt, but here again ASVEL has the advantage with the line in the league composed of Wilson/Troutman/Nsonwu. In the first game, Vichy’s line was strong enough to match with it, but it will be totally different story in the Astroballe where the hosts only lost two times this season.

All in all, I probably would not have touched it, but Asvel should be too much for Vichy after having played Roanne and Nancy, with just two days to recover. Match ups and stats are too much in favour of Villeurbanne (95.8 vs 71.6 in efficiency), leaving me no choice but to back them.



Pick : Lyon -6.5
Odds : 1.87
Stake : 6 / 10
Bookmaker : Triobet
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Date : 2008-04-18
Match Result : 90-67
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