Basketball Betting Tips from the Best Basketball Tipsters of the net!

Today begins the most interesting series in the playoffs in this round and this is probably the most unpredictable series also, where picking the winner is extremely hard. However, that doesn't stop a creation of excellent conditions to find a good spot for one of the teams today. It's the case today. I believe the Suns will win the series and beat the Spurs for the first time since Nash's arrival in Arizona, but for this game it's the Spurs, who have the better conditions to win.

This series ended 3-1 for the Suns in the regular season (1st time this happens in the Nash era), but most important was that the Suns won the last two games of the series, already with Shaq in the roster and their last win was really a statement, winning in San Antonio by 76-74. So, why do I think the Spurs will win when the momentum is on the Suns side? Well, my analysis starts right there. The Spurs aren't a normal team, I'm sure Greg Popovich isn't an average coach and the Spurs can take advantage of the big amount of confidence the Suns will bring for this game.

Looking for what has been said and who is predicting this series, all the comments I've read are just talking about how Shaq stopped Duncan, the way Duncan just shot 15-40 FG in the last two games with the Suns, etc... Everybody is turning their attention to this matchup, while I think there's an even more important matchup that I'll talk about it next.

Looking at the last game between the two teams, where the Suns won by 96-74 at San Antonio, besides the fact Duncan just shot 9-21 FG and Ginobili 3-12, the most interesting fact is that the team just tried 9 treys and most important they only put two in the basket (2-9 3pts). This showed a lack of confidence in their exterior game and it wasn't just in that game, as in the previous game against Portland they just shot 4-15 3pts and before they had 2-12 3pts against Utah. This 2-9 3pts was just the last proof how the Spurs was playing terrible from the 3pts line. However, the team in the last game of the regular season made a good game against Utah, which allowed them to recover all the lost confidence. In that game, the Spurs destroyed Utah by 109-80, in a game where the team shot 41-69 FG (59.4%) and 8-16 3pts (50%). This was in fact the game the Spurs needed to get back on track for the playoffs.

Now I'll talk about the X factor for this game, which will be the lethal weapon for the Spurs and who the Suns aren't expecting him to be so decisive: Tony Parker. However have you seen the last games of Parker in the regular season? Well, he's at the same level which gave him in the MVP in the finals last season. Against the Lakers, Parker made 20 points, 5 assists and 7 rebounds in 28 minutes. Against the Kings in 37 minutes, he made 32 pts and 11 assists and against Utah in 29 minutes, he made 24 points and 12 assists! Amazing! The total combined is 30-54 FG 55.5%! I remember that in the first game of the playoffs series between the Suns and the Spurs last season, Tony Parker also surprised everybody and scored 32 points. I expect him to do something similar in today's game.

This game also fits on a double revenge spot for the Spurs, which gives us to some fantastic trends like one that tells us that home teams who are coming from two losses in a row against the same opponent involving two good teams (60% to 75%), the home team has a record of 55-22 ATS in the last five seasons. Take the Spurs in here.

Pick : San Antonio Spurs (-4)
Odds : 1.94
Stake : 8 / 10
Bookmaker : Canbet
Tipster Personal Link/Sponsor: http://www.andregomes.com/
Date : 2008-04-19
Match Result : 117-115
Viewed: 291 times.