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Game 5 of this series and I wouldn't expect it to be so close, however already in the regular season the Sixers made the Pistons struggle big time and even though they have less experience at this level than Detroit, that didn't prevent them from being aggressive and practice their physical basketball, which obviously caused problems to Detroit. So, even though of the closeness of the series, Detroit has a spread of 9 points for today's game, which may seem to be absurd and too high, having in account the Sixers have showed that they can be competitive in both at home and on the road in this series, but there are moments where a series changes completely and everything a team did in four games don't count that much.

I'm talking about to the 2nd half of the Game 4 of this series where Detroit won at Philly by 93-84. In that game the Sixers were up by 46-36 at half time and they were leading the series by 2-1, so an eventual win would put them with a big edge over Detroit to get the series. But the Pistons came back after the half time and played their best basketball in a long time, making a run of 57-38 in the 2nd half, with 34-16 in the 3rd quarter, where they made 5 3pts shots and showed how mentally tough they are in situations of high pressure. Detroit has the momentum right now and that was said by one of Detroit's superstar:

"We've still got a long way to go, man. We've got a three-game series, two of them at our place. So that's the advantage we do have. I think another advantage we have is we're starting to figure them out. We're starting to figure them out finally. But we'll have to talk about that later -- there is a long way to go."

Also Prince continues to have a big advantage over Iguodala not only in the attack, but also I remember that Prince shot 11-12 FG and scored 23 points in the Game 4, while Iguodala just shot 4-16 FG and scored 12 points in the Game 4. However the X factor of this game is the matchup between Billups and Miller. In the last game and for the first time in this series, Billups outplayed Miller and this dominating was especially in the second half of the game. Billups finished the game with 18 points, 7 assists and 6 rebounds, while Miller finished it with 13 points and had more turnovers than assists (4 vs 3). It's also important to remember that Detroit won by 9 points the last game and they shot worse than the Sixers (42.5% FG vs 46.3% FG). Now at home, with the help of the crowd and with the momentum of the series back on the Pistons side, this team of the Sixers won't be able to fight back against a team who is looking for revenge right now. For me this series ended in the second half of last game and a win of Detroit in here by less than 10 points would be a surprise for me. Take Detroit in here.

Pick : Detroit Pistons (-9)
Odds : 1.95
Stake : 7 / 10
Bookmaker : Pinnacle
Tipster Personal Link/Sponsor: http://www.andregomes.com
Date : 2008-04-29
Match Result : 98-81
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