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Theoretically - if the team has a home court advantage throughout the playoffs - NBA championship can be achieved by winning all the home games, despite loosing all away games. Is that an option Boston Celtics are eying seriously? Mike Brown has addressed the issue and determined that theory aside, Champions must be able to win away too. But, who are you gonna beat, Mike? Atlanat Hawks proved to be a tough cookie and in Cleveland, the Celts did not even come close to winning. Getting LeBron James extra motivated through repeated physical assaults on him, did not exactly help their cause neither. Are those series coming down through a coaching duel between the coach Mike Brown and a Player Coach LeBron James? Seems like it. Do not forget what the Cavaliers did to Detroit Pistons last year, coming back from 0-2 hole in the Conference Championship series to eventual 4-2 win. The situation is very similar now: then too James did not function in first 2 games in Detroit through Court Shrinking defense executed by the Pistons, but, in the following games at home, the Cavs had applied Spread Offense and few minutes of Piston's confusion in each game were enough for the most effective NBA player to turn the tables on Detroit. Are Boston Celtics gonna follow the Piston's path or are they gonna pay an extra attention to the tapes from the last years finals between the Cavs and the Spurs, where San Antonio did not fall for the Spread Offense and did not send guards out of paint to close James' perimeter - unlike the Pistons, who got temped to do so and paid dearly.

LeBron James is the player who can punish in many ways for a momental loss of concentartion and as long as Mike Brown can keep his team focused, like Byron Scott did yesterday, the Celtics will be in a driver's seat. But a momentary lapse of concentration can cost the Celtics in a home loss and game six away in Cleveland at 2-3 in the Series.

No way it is going to be a shootout between the teams. Garnett, Pierce and Allen will have to produce more balanced offense than in teams last encounters in Boston, but the balance will most probably come on the count of Garnett's reduced productivity, rather than in rapid Pierce & Allen productivity growth in score.

The Celtics are 9 point favorites, and it seems outrageous for game 5, where the Over/Under stands at 176 points. One of the two can not happen - Celtics win ATS and Under. So, if we figure the Celtics gonna beat the spread, the Over is apparent. And, if the Cavaliers are going to beat the Handicap Spread - the game will go Under.

We choose the later option.



Pick : Cavaliers +9
Odds : 1.91
Stake : 6 / 10
Bookmaker : Canbet
Tipster Personal Link/Sponsor: http://www.livegamestips.com
Date : 2008-05-14
Match Result : 96-89
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