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I think we have a good opportunity here.Aris started well this year,but the last month is clearly struggling.In Greek A1,he lost 2 games at home,against Olumpiakos and Panionios and at Euroleague,they lost from Armani Milano at home too.After this last defeat,Aris is desperate for the win,but the question is whether he is capable for it?

The answer for me,is that he is not.The main problem of the team,is the bad relationship coach Herbert has with some of his players.It is rumoured that he won’t Caste out of the team and he is using very little Iliadis,Panteliadis and Agadakos.So,basically he only uses 6-7 players of his roster.

Aris main strength is his front line,with Massey until now dominating the game.He is clearly one of the best power-forwards in Europe now.With Mottola’s help,they both are making a very good front line.But,against Efes I think that they will have problem,because Efes is as good as Aris in this aspect,and maybe even better.Woods,Kuqo and Hutson,are definitely able to cause trouble at every team in Europe.

So,having in mind that I don’t expect that Aris will gain a lot from his main weapon,his front line,the thing goes to the guards.Castle,Wright,Kalaitzis against Arslan,Nicholas,Erdogan.I think that the difference between them is almost huge.

I believe that Efes will win this match quite easily,but I am taking the 2.5 points hc,in order to be covered in case the game goes tight until the end.



Pick : Efes Pilsen +2.5
Odds : 1.97
Stake : 6 / 10
Bookmaker : Pinnacle
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Date : 2007-11-28
Match Result :
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